Sunday, May 27, 2012

Think different

This, for me, is astounding.




Tim Cook decided to forgo the quarterly dividends accrued on the 1.125 million shares that are due to him in 2016 and 2021. True, this would have been over a period of 36 quarters, but this is still a huge amount of money. More than what most of us will make over a lifetime. And the major point being, no one asked him to! 


There was no pressure from shareholders, the company is doing insanely well and I doubt this was even in anyone's mind. As far as I can see, Tim Cook is basically doing this so that no one can (someday in the future) turn around and say that he instituted the dividend program to enrich himself.

There might have been other CEOs who've taken paycuts but those are generally in companies in some form of crisis or the other, like the $1 salary of various Wall-Street CEOs. But this form of simply walking away from a huge pile of cash is something that I haven't yet seen in my admittedly fledgling working life.

Contrast this with these notes from Dell: Michael Dell is making hay while his company drowns around him.

(As an aside, I'm sure Dell regrets the day he ever made that quote about shutting down Apple and returning money to the shareholders. One slip, and unfortunately that's how most people remember him for now.)

Will we hear someone from India doing the same? Forgo money that is legally and with utter validity due to him? Have we ever had something like this, ever?

Look forward to your thoughts! 

Wednesday, May 23, 2012

What happens when a country defaults

Excellent informative graphic from the FT:


Click through for a nifty primer...

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Stock Manipulator, SEC Nemesis - At 15 years of age

Fascinating article, all the way back from 2001, about a 15-year old guy scamming the market (and making serious money) at the height of the dot-com boom.  I never did realize how crazy that time had been, but this article gives a great insight into it. And of course, Michael Lewis does a great job reporting. 


What have you done lately? 

Friday, May 18, 2012

India is poor(er) because you buy gold. Seriously!


OK, so the title isn't exactly right. What is basically says that because Indians spend a lot on gold, they don't put nearly enough in savings, instead demanding ever-increasing quantities of gold. Which of course screws up the current account deficit. 

I wonder how much of this is due to Keralites. Rather a lot, I'd wager. Mallus beat the rest of India hands down in purchasing gold...

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Mumbai real estate prices: Up or Down?

Seemingly contradictory news clippings of real estate prices in Mumbai going (a) Up and (b) Down on the same day. How did this happen? As usual, statistics and how much, and where you read the article in question play defining roles:
1. First up, this infographic in the printed format of Economic Times dated 14th May, 2012 tells you that real estate prices in Mumbai are up17% for the March quarter FY12 as compared to the same for FY11. They also compare prices to June 2008 and June 2009, which to me makes absolutely no sense, but I guess its their paper. Then it says that this is "despite increasing inventory levels" when RIGHT BELOW THE WORDS THERE IS A GRAPH SHOWING DECREASE IN INVENTORY. Basically inventory in Q4 was same as Q1, having briefly first decreased, then increased and then decreased again. Sales are up on flattish prices, with a q-o-q increase of 3% (prices) and 20% (sales).

Here's the infographic:




2) If, on the same day (same night actually), you had gone to their website and read this link, you could have been forgiven for thinking that prices in Mumbai had actually gone DOWN. 

To paraphrase:
Mumbai's residential property market has shown a negative growth of -9.1% during the year ended March 2012, according to the latest Knight Frank Prime Global Cities Index that compares the performance of prime sales markets across key global cities.
Most of the prospective home buyers in Mumbai are on waiting for an anticipated price correction in the backdrop of oversupply scenario in some of the areas of the city and rising inventory level of nearly 120 million sq ft being under construction.
This got a fair deal of publicity, where a lot of people were talking about the much-awaited real-estate correction finally happening. Or starting, at least. But everyone in my firm were also wondering where in the hell had prices actually fallen? Everyone attested to the fact that prices in their respective areas (most of us live in the suburbs) had not budged, if anything, they had increased. So where?

Also, this kinda left me confused, have prices gone down or up?  The catch, dear readers, lies in the details. Read the above paragraph again. The article is performace of prime sales markets. What does that mean? If, like me, you read this for the first time, you'd think that Mumbai on the whole is taken as a 'prime' location and therefore they're talking about the city as a whole. Right? Not quite.


3) Then, I read this, on moneycontrol, where for the first time, I saw what the definition of prime sales market meant. Prime property corresponds to the top 5% of the mainstream housing market in each city.
And that, to me, was an A-ha! moment. So prices fell by 9% in the Southernmost of South Mumbai and despite the overwhelming influence those prices would have on the median, the overall prices across the rest of Mumbai increased by some amount! 

Basically, all your real estate prices in suburbs, Thane etc. etc. remained either constant or increased. And some people in South Mumbai sold their apartments for fewer crores. Move along people, still no way to buy a flat in Mumbai...

Here's the kicker. If you go to the Knight Frank website, on the home page, the very first article (as of today) is : Average cost of flat in Mumbai is Rs. 2.60 crore

Enjoy! 

 



Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Highest & Cheapest Gas Prices by Country

Information as on 15th May, 2012. Directly taking this from The Big Picture blog.


(Click to expand picture)




Most expensive gas ranking:Price per gallon of premium gasoline: 
Norway$9.69
Denmark$9.37
Italy$9.35
Netherland$9.35
Greece$9.23
Sweden$8.97
Hong Kong$8.89
Portugal$8.85
United Kingdom$8.84
Belgium$8.82
France$8.72
Finland$8.59
Germany$8.56
Ireland$8.34
Switzerland$7.95
Slovakia$7.93
Hungary$7.69
Czech Republic$7.59
Japan$7.58
South Korea$7.57
Spain$7.55
Slovenia$7.54
Austria$7.45
Malta$7.32
Latvia$7.26
Luxembourg$7.24
Lithuania$7.24
Estonia$7.05
Poland$7.01
Cyprus$7.00
Bulgaria$6.94
Australia$6.75
Singapore$6.70
Romania$6.59
Chile$6.54
Brazil$6.41
India$6.06
Canada$5.75
South Africa$5.72
Seychelles$5.53
Argentina$5.44
China$5.31
Thailand$4.96
United States$4.19
Indonesia$4.11
Russia$3.71
Malaysia$3.30
Mexico$3.20
Iran$2.78
Nigeria$2.33
United Arab Emirates$1.89
Egypt$1.73
Kuwait$0.88
Saudi Arabia$0.61
Venezuela$0.09


So India lies at the 19th position out of 56 countries (from lowest to highest), so we're pretty well placed. Few assumptions I made: Gasoline in the US is Petrol in India, so $6.06/gallon works out to roughly Rs. 80 per litre (assuming USD-INR conversion of Rs. 50). That still seems to be a little on the higher side, considering price on the street is around Rs. 71 now. Converting that to dollars we get, $5.37/gallon, which takes us to 15th place. That's not half-bad is it? Are we ready for some more pain in case prices are hiked?

(Note to self: See how every dollar/rupee increase in price cuts down our fiscal deficit)

Here's the 57(!!!) page slide-show by Bloomberg on the same.